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The 2019 Food City 500 takes place on Sunday at mythical Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag drops at two p.m. ET, and each corner counts due to the tight, steeply-banked track where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin grabbed his next victory of the 2019 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He has a win at Bristol under his belt and can be listed at 14-1 to win in the latest 2019 Food City 500 chances. However, there are just six drivers with 2019 NASCAR in Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is the preferred followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you create your own 2019 Food City 500 choices, see the NASCAR in Bristol predictions in the proven pc model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track record and recent results into consideration.

The version is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four competition from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It was also all over Kyle Busch as a top contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of the drivers in McClure’s top five went on to top-five finishes in the Automobile Club 400. Anyone who has followed its selections is way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His model mimicked the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For Sunday, we can inform you the model is high on Kurt Busch, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off as a very long shot 14-1 NASCAR in Bristol odds.

Busch is a six-time winner at Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this course among active NASCAR drivers. That includes a victory last August at the NASCAR in Bristol race for his 30th career success in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion fought his way into the front of the pack from the ninth starting position because race and has also previously come in the 27th and 13th starting places to win at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR seen Bristol and certainly will start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this season also, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second in the Clash at Daytona and third at Atlanta.

And a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the best Vegas favorites in 12-1, does not even crack the top five. There are far better values compared to 12-1 premium he’s commanding.

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